TY - JOUR
T1 - Between Demographic Optimism and Pessimism?
AU - McConnell, Eileen Díaz
AU - Rodríguez-Muñiz, Michael
N1 - Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Hutchins Center for African and African American Research.
PY - 2022
Y1 - 2022
N2 - The U.S. Census Bureau projects that by 2060, Latinx, African Americans, Asians, and other "minority"groups will together comprise the majority of the country's population. Past research has found that non-Hispanic Whites, hereafter Whites, find such projections disquieting or threatening. Yet, recent surveys reveal that when given more than binary good/bad choices, most Whites opt for the middle-point response that this development will be "neither good nor bad for the country."How can we account for this seemingly ambiguous evaluation of projected ethnoracial demographic futures? Using eight waves of nationally representative U.S. survey data collected between 2015 and 2018, this article begins to unpack the "neither"response among Whites, exploring what it might mean and what factors are associated with it, relative to seemingly optimistic and pessimistic stances. Multinomial Logistic Regression analyses and additional descriptive analyses indicate that "neither good nor bad"in this context is a substantive response: White "Neithers"are socio-demographically and attitudinally distinct from their counterparts. Our study demonstrates the value of moving beyond an exclusive focus on expressions of demographic threat and pessimism. Moreover, it invites further investigation into factors that inform and shape how Whites and other ethnoracial populations in the U.S. understand and assess projected population shifts.
AB - The U.S. Census Bureau projects that by 2060, Latinx, African Americans, Asians, and other "minority"groups will together comprise the majority of the country's population. Past research has found that non-Hispanic Whites, hereafter Whites, find such projections disquieting or threatening. Yet, recent surveys reveal that when given more than binary good/bad choices, most Whites opt for the middle-point response that this development will be "neither good nor bad for the country."How can we account for this seemingly ambiguous evaluation of projected ethnoracial demographic futures? Using eight waves of nationally representative U.S. survey data collected between 2015 and 2018, this article begins to unpack the "neither"response among Whites, exploring what it might mean and what factors are associated with it, relative to seemingly optimistic and pessimistic stances. Multinomial Logistic Regression analyses and additional descriptive analyses indicate that "neither good nor bad"in this context is a substantive response: White "Neithers"are socio-demographically and attitudinally distinct from their counterparts. Our study demonstrates the value of moving beyond an exclusive focus on expressions of demographic threat and pessimism. Moreover, it invites further investigation into factors that inform and shape how Whites and other ethnoracial populations in the U.S. understand and assess projected population shifts.
KW - Demographic Projections
KW - Group Threat
KW - Middle Point Responses
KW - Neither Good nor Bad
KW - Race/Ethnicity
KW - Racial Attitudes
KW - U.S. Population Dynamics
KW - Whites
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U2 - 10.1017/S1742058X2200008X
DO - 10.1017/S1742058X2200008X
M3 - Article
SN - 1742-058X
JO - Du Bois Review
JF - Du Bois Review
ER -