@inproceedings{8c805869d75a400a8377ffe59d996263,
title = "Modeling schedule recovery processes in transit operations for bus arrival time prediction",
abstract = "Many existing algorithms for bus arrival time prediction assume that buses travel at free-flow speed in the absence of congestion. As a result, delay incurred at one stop would propagate to the downstream stops in the same magnitude. In reality, good bus operators often constantly adjust their speeds to keep the bus on schedule. This paper formulates n Markov chain model for bus arrival time prediction that explicitly captures the behavior of bus operators in pursuing schedule recovery. The model exhibits some desirable properties in capturing the schedule recovery process and guarantees provision of the schedule information if realtime information .suddenly becomes unavailable. The proposed model can he embedded into a transit arrival time estimation model for transit information systems.",
keywords = "Advanced vehicle location systems, GPS, Markov chain model, Transit systems",
author = "Lin, {Wei Hua} and Bertini, {Robert L.}",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2002 IEEE.; 5th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2002 ; Conference date: 03-09-2002 Through 06-09-2002",
year = "2002",
doi = "10.1109/ITSC.2002.1041332",
language = "English (US)",
series = "IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Proceedings, ITSC",
publisher = "Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.",
pages = "857--862",
editor = "Der-Horng Lee and Dipti Srinivasan and Cheu, {Ruey Long}",
booktitle = "IEEE 5th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2002 - Proceedings",
}