TY - GEN
T1 - Power system planning and operation across multiple coincident non-stationary temperature futures
AU - Burillo, Daniel
AU - Chester, Mikhail
AU - Ruddell, Benjamin
N1 - Publisher Copyright: © ASCE.
PY - 2017
Y1 - 2017
N2 - Power system planning and operations are significantly affected by the air temperature patterns within a geographic region. Climate non-stationarity, including more severe heat waves, thus presents new challenges for maintaining reliable infrastructure operations. This is especially risky in the U.S. Southwest because the region heavily uses electric air conditioning and thermal power generation technologies - who's electrical performance varies with air temperature. Using structural equation modelling (SEM) techniques, we considered how unprecedented high air temperatures could result in insufficient electricity generation resources to meet peak electricity demand for Phoenix (exporter) and Los Angeles (importer) regions. If the two regions reach 44-58°C (111-136°F) at the same time, then they could experience a net power deficit. Since significant population growth is expected in both regions, different urban planning approaches are discussed for proactive governance to maintain reliable power infrastructure considering trade-offs in economic, social, and natural resources for different stakeholder groups.
AB - Power system planning and operations are significantly affected by the air temperature patterns within a geographic region. Climate non-stationarity, including more severe heat waves, thus presents new challenges for maintaining reliable infrastructure operations. This is especially risky in the U.S. Southwest because the region heavily uses electric air conditioning and thermal power generation technologies - who's electrical performance varies with air temperature. Using structural equation modelling (SEM) techniques, we considered how unprecedented high air temperatures could result in insufficient electricity generation resources to meet peak electricity demand for Phoenix (exporter) and Los Angeles (importer) regions. If the two regions reach 44-58°C (111-136°F) at the same time, then they could experience a net power deficit. Since significant population growth is expected in both regions, different urban planning approaches are discussed for proactive governance to maintain reliable power infrastructure considering trade-offs in economic, social, and natural resources for different stakeholder groups.
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U2 - 10.1061/9780784481196.026
DO - 10.1061/9780784481196.026
M3 - Conference contribution
T3 - International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017: Methodology - Proceedings of the International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017
SP - 293
EP - 302
BT - International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017
A2 - Soibelman, Lucio
A2 - Pena-Mora, Feniosky
PB - American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
T2 - 2017 International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure: Methodology, ICSI 2017
Y2 - 26 October 2017 through 28 October 2017
ER -