TY - GEN
T1 - Understanding patterns of technology evolution
T2 - 39th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS'06
AU - Adomavicius, Gediminas
AU - Bockstedt, Jesse
AU - Gupta, Alok
AU - Kauffman, Robert J.
PY - 2006
Y1 - 2006
N2 - Understanding the dynamics of technology evolution - whether for the purposes of forecasting new product or technology infrastructure developments, or identifying the basis for future digital convergence in the global market - is a key challenge for innovators, senior managers, and policymakers. This research provides an overview of a new ecosystem model of technology evolution, the purpose of which is to structure these kinds of assessments and suggest reusable analysis structures to ensure that total environment of technological innovation is considered. We use examples from the end-user computing context and the electronics industry to identify five patterns of technology evolution that commonly occur. We also develop a state diagram-based approach to demonstrate the cyclical nature of technology evolution. Finally, we illustrate our findings using a case study on digital music technologies.
AB - Understanding the dynamics of technology evolution - whether for the purposes of forecasting new product or technology infrastructure developments, or identifying the basis for future digital convergence in the global market - is a key challenge for innovators, senior managers, and policymakers. This research provides an overview of a new ecosystem model of technology evolution, the purpose of which is to structure these kinds of assessments and suggest reusable analysis structures to ensure that total environment of technological innovation is considered. We use examples from the end-user computing context and the electronics industry to identify five patterns of technology evolution that commonly occur. We also develop a state diagram-based approach to demonstrate the cyclical nature of technology evolution. Finally, we illustrate our findings using a case study on digital music technologies.
KW - Business technologies
KW - Digital music industry
KW - Ecosystem model
KW - Evolutionary patterns
KW - Management of technology
KW - Technology ecosystem
KW - Technology evolution
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=33749662924&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=33749662924&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/HICSS.2006.515
DO - 10.1109/HICSS.2006.515
M3 - Conference contribution
SN - 0769525075
SN - 9780769525075
T3 - Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences
SP - 189a
BT - Proceedings of the 39th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS'06
Y2 - 4 January 2006 through 7 January 2006
ER -